February 8, 2016

Podcast: New Hampshire Surveys Show Clinton, Rubio Gaining Modest Ground After Iowa

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Roger Wood

Photo courtesy of InDepthNH

Roger Wood

THIS PODCAST AND STORY WERE SHARED WITH IOWAWATCH BY INDEPTHNH, A NEWS PARTNER THROUGH THE INSTITUTE FOR NONPROFIT NEWS. FOR MORE AT INDEPTHNH GO TO THIS LINK.

next-to-last University of New Hampshire Survey Center presidential primary poll released Sunday shows former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton closing the gap with Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, but Sanders still holds a double-digit lead.

On the GOP side, Donald Trump is still in the lead, with Marco Rubio rising, according to the survey center’s poll.

If the Democratic primary were held today, 58 percent of likely Democratic primary voters say they would vote for Sanders, 35 percent say they would vote for Clinton, and 6 percent are undecided, according to Sunday’s release.

Roger Wood

Photo courtesy of InDepthNH

Roger Wood

Andy Smith, survey center director, previously told InDepthNH’s Roger Wood that there are still about one-third of Democrats who have not made up their minds. And most Democrats think Sanders will win the New Hampshire primary.

These findings are based on the latest CNN/WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll. Nine hundred and fifty-three (953) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between Feb. 3 and Feb. 6. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.2 percent for the entire sample.

Currently 61 percent of likely Democratic primary voters say they have definitely decided who they will support, 23 percent are leaning toward a candidate, and 16 percent are still trying to decide who to support.

On the Republican side, Donald Trump still holds the lead in the New Hampshire primary race and most Republican voters think he will win. But only 45 percent of New Hampshire Republican primary voters say they have firmly decided who they will vote for in the primary, 25 percent are leaning toward a candidate, and 30 percent are still trying to decide.

Trump has the support of 33 percent of likely Republican primary voters. Trump is followed by Marco Rubio (16 percent), Ted Cruz (14 percent), John Kasich (11 percent), Jeb Bush (7 percent), Carly Fiorina (6 percent), Chris Christie (4 percent), and Ben Carson (2 percent).

All other potential candidates received less than 1 percent support, and 6 percent say they are undecided. Trump (44 percent) and Cruz (22 percent) are the leading candidates among primary voters who regularly listen to conservative talk radio.

Trump (37 percent) and Rubio (25 percent) are the top choices among primary voters who regularly read the New Hampshire Union Leader. Trump also has the support of 47 percent of likely primary voters who say they have definitely decided who they are voting for on primary day.

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